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Bob Gilbert's Katy Blog

Eight Months 2016 Market Report for South Katy TX- MLS Area 36

Eight Months 2016 Market Report for South Katy TX- MLS Area 36 

I always prefer to examine year-to-date data throughout any given year and look at year to year comparisons for discovering market trends as I think there is too much volatility on a month to month basis to make any good conclusions. My primary market is South Katy or MLS area 36. Of course I also am interested in MLS 25 or North Katy; MLS area 37 Fort Bend West; MLS 29 Fort Bend-Sugar Land and Stafford plus a few others in Cypress TX.

I posted on Monday September 19, 2016 Houston Association of Realtors August 2016  MLS Report for single family homes which indicated August was a bounce back month for this huge market segment being Houston and the surrounding area. The South Katy market also had a better August than July 2016 but is still showing weakness. Below are the salient statistics for this market.   

 

Eight months YTD 2016 versus Eight months months YTD 2015 for MLS for South Katy comparison shows some interesting trends.  

 

Units sold in 2016 have decreased from 2,377 in 2015 to 2,347 during 2016 which is equates to a 1.3 % decrease but the decrease actually shrank from what it was YTD July 2016. At the same time Average prices decreased by approximately 2.7% from approx $352,800 to $341,262 during 2016. Median prices also decreased in 2016 by Approx. 2.5 % from $320,000 in 2015 to $312,100 in 2016.  Prices have fallen for the first time in several years. Usually South Katy has enjoyed a fairly  stable market which shows gradually rising prices over time.

 

The price decrease continues to be mainly due to energy prices dropping significantly last and early this year and energy companies laying off over 25% of their Houston workforce. I suspect this percentage of the workforce who were part of the layoffs is probably too low. The layoff trend will continue for a few more months based on what experts are saying before it stabilizes. I believe this trend is continuing during September.  The low levels of available inventory from the last several years has cushioned the impact for many months especially in late 2015 and now it is continuing tp have a negative impact on 2016 sales and prices. In addition, new car sales in the Houston area have plunged by 38 % in July 2016 as well as dropping by 7.2 % in August 2016 versus August 2015 and this is the sixth consecutive month where sales have lagged the comparable period last year. August 2016 car sales were substantially higher than July but are still reflecting a significant slowdown.

 

New Listings also increased by approximately 7.8 % during 2016 and active listing went up by approx. 35.8%. Inventory levels of homes priced above $350 K have definitely increased and I believe will probably continue to do so during the rest of 2016. There is a lot of homes available for sale priced at $500,000 and above price level and many of these homes are languishing on the market.  If you are thinking of listing a home priced at $500 K level or higher you might want to wait till early spring to put this home on the market.

 

Days on the market have moved from 44 days to 54 days and months of inventory which were almost hyper market level numbers the last several years went from 3.2 months to 4.1 months in 2016. Obviously South Katy is still, depending on the price point,  a seller's market but has weakened.  

 

Pending sales have increased 1,401 to 1,489 or about 6.3 % which is some good news for sellers.

 

The closing price to original list price is 96 % and has deteriorated during 2016 from 97 %.  

 

Demand for affordable family homes has risen in South Katy and available inventory is still very low and frankly hard to find if the condition is good or better. I consider affordable to be homes priced at $300,000 or less. The demand and supply equation gets much worse when looking for homes priced at less than $200,000.

 

I personally think units of sale in 2016 will continue to drop but has slightly improved during August 2016 and prices will continue to move downwards. Some older neighborhoods will probably experience a fairly large price decrease during the remainder of 2016 and some neighborhoods will probably experience a small price increase or stay flat. I do not see new home builders reducing their prices at all. The best new buyers might see are larger builder’s price incentives which has started to occur in certain communities and will continue.

 

If you have questions about the South Katy market or any other surrounding area call me and let's get started finding you and your family a home. There are still excellent opportunities to buy a really nice home. If you like some information about these available family homes, I can create a custom search for you which will be presented to you on your own web page. These are generalized market trend numbers and every home needs to be evaluated by itself and based on many factors. Computer models estimates are extremely inaccurate.

 

There is no implied or express warranty or guarantee of accuracy of the above figures. All figures were obtained from the Houston Association Realtors MLS system. These market numbers are constantly changing on a daily basis as this is a very dynamic market.  

 

 

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Eight Months 2016 Market Report for South Katy TX- MLS Area 36

 

 

© 2016 Bob Gilbert Real Estate

 

Accredited Luxury Home Specialist

 

Note: Katy TX is about 25 -30 miles due West of downtown Houston TX.

 

If you have any questions about Katy Homes for Sale or Katy Homes for Rent in the Katy Texas and/or Sugar Land TX, and/or Cypress TX and/or other surrounding areas, contact me via my cell: 281-904-6772 or via Email:

 

 

 bobgilbert2003@msn.com or bob@bobgilbert.com

or visit me on my web site at

 

http://www.katyhomefinder.com

or visit me on Google plus

and FaceBook at https://www.facebook.com/bobgilberttx

 

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© 2007- 2016 Bob Gilbert 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

       

                      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



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Eight Months 2016 Market Report for South Katy TX- MLS Area 36
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